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YURINSKII’S COUPLING FOR MARTINGALES

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Yurinskii’s coupling is a popular theoretical tool for nonasymptotic distributional analysis in mathematical statistics and applied probability, offering a Gaussian strong approximation with an explicit error bound under easily verifiable conditions. Originally stated in ℓ2-norm for sums of independent random vectors, it has recently been extended both to the ℓp-norm, for 1 ≤ p ≤ ∞, and to vector-valued martingales in ℓ2-norm, under some strong conditions. We present as our main result a Yurinskii coupling for approximate martingales in ℓp-norm, under substantially weaker conditions than those previously imposed. Our formulation further allows for the coupling variable to follow a more general Gaussian mixture distribution, and we provide a novel third-order coupling method, which gives tighter approximations in certain settings. We specialize our main result to mixingales, martingales, and independent data, and derive uniform Gaussian mixture strong approximations for martingale empirical processes. Applications to nonparametric partitioning-based and local polynomial regression procedures are provided, alongside central limit theorems for high-dimensional martingale vectors.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)2179-2203
Number of pages25
JournalAnnals of Statistics
Volume53
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2025

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

Keywords

  • Coupling
  • Gaussian mixture approximation
  • central limit theorems
  • dependent data
  • empirical processes
  • local polynomial estimation
  • martingales
  • mixingales
  • series estimation
  • strong approximation
  • time series
  • uniform inference

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