TY - JOUR
T1 - Understanding and managing connected extreme events
AU - Raymond, Colin
AU - Horton, Radley M.
AU - Zscheischler, Jakob
AU - Martius, Olivia
AU - AghaKouchak, Amir
AU - Balch, Jennifer
AU - Bowen, Steven G.
AU - Camargo, Suzana J.
AU - Hess, Jeremy
AU - Kornhuber, Kai
AU - Oppenheimer, Michael
AU - Ruane, Alex C.
AU - Wahl, Thomas
AU - White, Kathleen
N1 - Funding Information:
This paper was developed from ideas discussed at a May 2019 workshop at Columbia University, organized by C.R., R.M.H., J.Z., O.M., A.A., S.J.C., M.O., A.C.R., T.W., N. Diffenbaugh, S. I. Seneviratne and A. Sobel (http://extremeweather.columbia.edu/ workshop-on-correlated-extremes/). The workshop drew generous support from the U.S. National Science Foundation’s Prediction of and Resilience against Extreme Events (PREEVENTS) program, Aon, the Columbia University Initiative on Extreme Weather and Climate, NOAA’s Consortium for Climate Risk in the Urban Northeast (CCRUN), the World Climate Research Programme’s (WCRP) Grand Challenge on Weather and Climate Extremes, and the European COST Action ‘Understanding and modeling compound climate and weather events’ (DAMOCLES; CA17109). A portion of C.R.’s work was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. R.M.H acknowledges support from the NOAA RISA Program (grant no. NA15OAR4310147). J.Z. acknowledges financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation (Ambizione grant no. 179876). O.M. acknowledges financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant no. 178751). T.W. acknowledges financial support from the National Science Foundation (grant no. AGS-1929382).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, Springer Nature Limited.
PY - 2020/7/1
Y1 - 2020/7/1
N2 - Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decision-making structures—together with population exposure and vulnerability—create nonphysical interconnections among events by linking their impacts, to positive or negative effect. Various anthropogenic actions can also directly affect the severity of events, further complicating these feedback loops. Such relationships are rarely characterized or considered in physical-sciences-based research contexts. Here, we present a multidisciplinary argument for the concept of connected extreme events, and we suggest vantage points and approaches for producing climate information useful in guiding decisions about them.
AB - Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decision-making structures—together with population exposure and vulnerability—create nonphysical interconnections among events by linking their impacts, to positive or negative effect. Various anthropogenic actions can also directly affect the severity of events, further complicating these feedback loops. Such relationships are rarely characterized or considered in physical-sciences-based research contexts. Here, we present a multidisciplinary argument for the concept of connected extreme events, and we suggest vantage points and approaches for producing climate information useful in guiding decisions about them.
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U2 - 10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4
DO - 10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4
M3 - Review article
AN - SCOPUS:85087279857
SN - 1758-678X
VL - 10
SP - 611
EP - 621
JO - Nature Climate Change
JF - Nature Climate Change
IS - 7
ER -