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Tests for Principal Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We establish central limit theorems for principal eigenvalues and eigenvectors under divergent spiked covariance models, and develop three two-sample tests for testing (a) the equality of principal eigenvalues, (b) the stability of eigenvalue proportions, and (c) the invariance of principal eigenvectors. One important application of our results is to understand structural breaks in large factor models. That is, when a structural break is suspected or detected, these tests provide unique insights into the source, determining whether the structural break stems from altered factor strength (eigenvalues), a shift in the factors’ relative importance (eigenvalue proportions), or a fundamental factor reorientation (eigenvectors). We demonstrate the application by analyzing daily returns of S&P 500 stocks, revealing that major historical structural breaks, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic, were complex events characterized by simultaneous shifts in factor strength, relative importance, and orientation. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalJournal of the American Statistical Association
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2026

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

Keywords

  • Divergent spiked covariance model
  • Principal eigenvalue
  • Principal eigenvector
  • Structural break
  • Two-sample test

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