Quantitative risk analysis of damage to structures during windstorms: Random field and system reliability aspects

Erik Vanmarcke, Ning Lin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Quantitative risk analysis (QRA) enables rational accounting for the effect of spatial scale on estimates of damage to individual (multi-component) structures or to groups of closely spaced structures during severe windstorms. The case of the window breakage on the facade of Boston's John Hancock Tower, which motivated a series of such risk-based studies, is summarized. We further describe and illustrate an integrated vulnerability model to estimate structural damage in clusters of residential buildings due to tropicalcyclone winds, accounting for the "chain reaction" of events involving wind pressure damage and wind-borne debris damage, amplifying aggregate losses. The last part of the paper provides relevant background information on new methodology to analyze multi-scale random fields, presented in the second (2010) edition of the first author's book Random Fields.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationVulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
Subtitle of host publicationAnalysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences
Pages11-20
Number of pages10
DOIs
StatePublished - 2011
Externally publishedYes
EventInternational Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2011 and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2011 - Hyattsville, MD, United States
Duration: Apr 11 2011Apr 13 2011

Publication series

NameVulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences

Other

OtherInternational Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2011 and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2011
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityHyattsville, MD
Period4/11/114/13/11

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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