Optimal stochastic control and carbon price formation

René Carmona, Max Fehr, Juri Hinz

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

43 Scopus citations

Abstract

To meet the targets of the Kyoto Protocol, the European Union established the European Emission Trading Scheme, a mandatory market for carbon emission allowances. This regulatory framework has introduced a market for emission allowances and created a variety of emission-related financial instruments. In this work, we show that the economic mechanism of carbon allowance price formation can be formulated in the framework of competitive stochastic equilibrium models, and we show that its solution reduces to an optimal stochastic control problem. Using this mathematical setup, we identify the main allowance price drivers and show how stochastic control can be used to treat quantitative problems in carbon price risk management.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)2168-2190
Number of pages23
JournalSIAM Journal on Control and Optimization
Volume48
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 5 2009

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Control and Optimization
  • Applied Mathematics

Keywords

  • Carbon trading
  • Commodity options
  • Environmental risk
  • Stochastic control

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