Opposite patterns of synchrony in sympatric disease metapopulations

Pejman Rohani, David J.D. Earn, Bryan T. Grenfell

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

223 Scopus citations

Abstract

Measles epidemics in UK cities, which were regular and highly synchronous before vaccination, are known to have become irregular and spatially uncorrelated in the vaccine era. Whooping cough shows the reverse pattern, namely a shift from spatial incoherence and irregularity before vaccination to regular, synchronous epidemics afterward. Models show that these patterns can arise from disease-specific responses to dynamical noise. This analysis has implications for vaccination strategies and illustrates the power of comparative dynamical studies of sympatric metapopulations.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)968-971
Number of pages4
JournalScience
Volume286
Issue number5441
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 29 1999

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General

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