Onset and saturation of a non-resonant internal mode in NSTX and implications for at modes in ITER

Motivated by experimental observations of apparently triggerless tearing modes, we have performed linear and nonlinear MHD analysis showing that a non-resonant mode with toroidal mode number n = 1 can develop in the National Spherical Torus eXperiment (NSTX) at moderate normalized β_N when the shear is low and the central safety factor q₀ is close to but greater than one. This mode, which is related to previously identified 'infernal' modes, will saturate and persist, and can develop poloidal mode number m = 2 magnetic islands in agreement with experiments. We have also extended this analysis by performing a free-boundary transport simulation of an entire discharge and showing that, with reasonable assumptions, we can predict the time of mode onset.