Ockham's Razor cuts to the root: Simplicity in causal explanation

M. Pacer, Tania Lombrozo

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

When evaluating causal explanations, simpler explanations are widely regarded as better explanations. However, little is known about how people assess simplicity in causal explanations or what the consequences of such a preference are. We contrast 2 candidate metrics for simplicity in causal explanations: node simplicity (the number of causes invoked in an explanation) and root simplicity (the number of unexplained causes invoked in an explanation). Across 4 experiments, we find that explanatory preferences track root simplicity, not node simplicity; that a preference for root simplicity is tempered (but not eliminated) by probabilistic evidence favoring a more complex explanation; that committing to a less likely but simpler explanation distorts memory for past observations; and that a preference for root simplicity is greater when the root cause is strongly linked to its effects. We suggest that a preference for root-simpler explanations follows from the role of explanations in highlighting and efficiently representing and communicating information that supports future predictions and interventions.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1761-1780
Number of pages20
JournalJournal of Experimental Psychology: General
Volume146
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2017
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Experimental and Cognitive Psychology
  • Psychology(all)
  • Developmental Neuroscience

Keywords

  • Causal inference
  • Explanation
  • Inference to the best explanation
  • Parsimony
  • Simplicity

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