Nonlinear gyrokinetic modelling of high confinement negative triangularity plasmas

Nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations correctly predict particle as well as ion and electron energy fluxes of high confinement plasmas with a negative triangularity cross sectional shape, showing that core transport in these plasmas is well described by standard gyrokinetic models. Experimentally inferred power balance fluxes are mostly reproduced within one standard deviation across a wide portion of the minor radius. Experimental conditions are reproduced by ion scale simulations, without the need to include density and temperature profile curvature effects. The experimental case is used as baseline to predict that the non-dimensional confinement scaling in negative triangularity plasmas increases strongly with plasma current while slightly degrading at increasing normalized pressure and decreasing collisionality. Recent experiments showed that low toroidal rotation negatively impacts confinement; consistent with the experiment, simulations predict that low rotational shear significantly affects confinement unless the plasma effective charge is maintained above a minimum level. Core confinement is predicted to significantly degrade in low aspect ratio devices.