TY - JOUR
T1 - Multi-scale jump and volatility analysis for high-frequency financial data
AU - Fan, Jianqing
AU - Wang, Yazhen
N1 - Funding Information:
Jianqing Fan is Frederick Moore ’18 Professor of Finance, Department of Operation Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, and Honored Professor, Department of Statistics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China (E-mail: jqfan@ princeton.edu). Yazhen Wang is Professor, Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, and Special Term Professor of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China (E-mail: [email protected]). Fan’s research was supported in part by National Science Foundation (NSF) grants DMS-0532370 and DMS-0704337 and Wang’s research was supported in part by NSF grant DMS-0504323. The authors thank Hai Xu for programming help and the joint editors, associate editor, and two anonymous referees for stimulating comments and suggestions.
PY - 2007/12
Y1 - 2007/12
N2 - The wide availability of high-frequency data for many financial instruments stimulates an upsurge interest in statistical research on the estimation of volatility. Jump-diffusion processes observed with market microstructure noise are frequently used to model high-frequency financial data. Yet existing methods are developed for either noisy data from a continuous-diffusion price model or data from a jump-diffusion price model without noise. We propose methods to cope with both jumps in the price and market microstructure noise in the observed data. These methods allow us to estimate both integrated volatility and jump variation from the data sampled from jump-diffusion price processes, contaminated with the market microstructure noise. Our approach is to first remove jumps from the data and then apply noise-resistant methods to estimate the integrated volatility. The asymptotic analysis and the simulation study reveal that the proposed wavelet methods can successfully remove the jumps in the price processes and the integrated volatility can be estimated as accurately as in the case with no presence of jumps in the price processes. In addition, they have outstanding statistical efficiency. The methods are illustrated by applications to two high-frequency exchange rate data sets.
AB - The wide availability of high-frequency data for many financial instruments stimulates an upsurge interest in statistical research on the estimation of volatility. Jump-diffusion processes observed with market microstructure noise are frequently used to model high-frequency financial data. Yet existing methods are developed for either noisy data from a continuous-diffusion price model or data from a jump-diffusion price model without noise. We propose methods to cope with both jumps in the price and market microstructure noise in the observed data. These methods allow us to estimate both integrated volatility and jump variation from the data sampled from jump-diffusion price processes, contaminated with the market microstructure noise. Our approach is to first remove jumps from the data and then apply noise-resistant methods to estimate the integrated volatility. The asymptotic analysis and the simulation study reveal that the proposed wavelet methods can successfully remove the jumps in the price processes and the integrated volatility can be estimated as accurately as in the case with no presence of jumps in the price processes. In addition, they have outstanding statistical efficiency. The methods are illustrated by applications to two high-frequency exchange rate data sets.
KW - Diffusion
KW - Integrated volatility
KW - Jump variation
KW - Market microstructure noise
KW - Wavelets
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U2 - 10.1198/016214507000001067
DO - 10.1198/016214507000001067
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:38349068617
SN - 0162-1459
VL - 102
SP - 1349
EP - 1362
JO - Journal of the American Statistical Association
JF - Journal of the American Statistical Association
IS - 480
ER -