Misallocation and Capital Market Integration: Evidence From India

Natalie Bau, Adrien Matray

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

We show that foreign capital liberalization reduces capital misallocation and increases aggregate productivity for affected industries in India. The staggered liberalization of access to foreign capital across disaggregated industries allows us to identify changes in firms' input wedges, overcoming major challenges in the measurement of the effects of changing misallocation. Liberalization increases capital overall. For domestic firms with initially high marginal revenue products of capital (MRPK), liberalization increases revenues by 23%, physical capital by 53%, wage bills by 28%, and reduces MRPK by 33% relative to low MRPK firms. The effects of liberalization are largest in areas with less developed local banking sectors, indicating that inefficiencies in that sector may cause misallocation. Finally, we propose an assumption under which a novel method exploiting natural experiments can be used to bound the effect of changes in misallocation on treated industries' aggregate productivity. These industries' Solow residual increases by 3–16%.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)67-106
Number of pages40
JournalEconometrica
Volume91
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2023

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Economics and Econometrics

Keywords

  • India
  • Misallocation
  • aggregate productivity
  • economic development
  • foreign capital liberalization

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