TY - JOUR
T1 - Maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic volatility models
AU - Aït-Sahalia, Yacine
AU - Kimmel, Robert
N1 - Funding Information:
We are especially grateful to Bill Schwert (the Editor) and an anonymous referee for comments and suggestions that greatly improved the paper. Financial support from the NSF under grant SBR-0350772 is also gratefully acknowledged.
PY - 2007/2
Y1 - 2007/2
N2 - We develop and implement a method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we compare a full likelihood procedure, where an option price is inverted into the unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by proxies based on the implied volatility of a short-dated at-the-money option. The approximation results in a small loss of accuracy relative to the standard errors due to sampling noise. We apply this method to market prices of index options for several stochastic volatility models, and compare the characteristics of the estimated models. The evidence for a general CEV model, which nests both the affine Heston model and a GARCH model, suggests that the elasticity of variance of volatility lies between that assumed by the two nested models.
AB - We develop and implement a method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we compare a full likelihood procedure, where an option price is inverted into the unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by proxies based on the implied volatility of a short-dated at-the-money option. The approximation results in a small loss of accuracy relative to the standard errors due to sampling noise. We apply this method to market prices of index options for several stochastic volatility models, and compare the characteristics of the estimated models. The evidence for a general CEV model, which nests both the affine Heston model and a GARCH model, suggests that the elasticity of variance of volatility lies between that assumed by the two nested models.
KW - CEV model
KW - Closed-form likelihood expansions
KW - GARCH model
KW - Heston model
KW - Volatility proxies
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U2 - 10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.10.006
DO - 10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.10.006
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:33846486684
SN - 0304-405X
VL - 83
SP - 413
EP - 452
JO - Journal of Financial Economics
JF - Journal of Financial Economics
IS - 2
ER -