Grown-up business cycles

Benjamin Wild Pugsley, Ayşegül Şahin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

39 Scopus citations

Abstract

The entry rate of U.S. employer businesses has declined for more than 30 years. We use a novel dynamic decomposition framework to show that regardless of its causes, the direct effects of the continued decline in the entry rate and its delayed effects on the firm age distribution together play a major role in the slowing of trend employment growth and the emergence of jobless recoveries. We identify changing demographic structure of the population and increased import competition as leading factors behind the decline in startup activity.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number63
Pages (from-to)1102-1147
Number of pages46
JournalReview of Financial Studies
Volume32
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2019
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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