Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change

Chunrong Mi; Liang Ma; Mengyuan Yang; Xinhai Li; Shai Meiri; Uri Roll; Oleksandra Oskyrko; Daniel Pincheira-Donoso; Lilly P. Harvey; Daniel Jablonski; Barbod Safaei-Mahroo; Hanyeh Ghaffari; Jiri Smid; Scott Jarvie; Ronnie Mwangi Kimani; Rafaqat Masroor; Seyed Mahdi Kazemi; Lotanna Micah Nneji; Arnaud Marius Tchassem Fokoua; Geraud C. Tasse Taboue; Aaron Bauer; Cristiano Nogueira; Danny Meirte; David G. Chapple; Indraneil Das; Lee Grismer; Luciano Javier Avila; Marco Antônio Ribeiro Júnior; Oliver J.S. Tallowin; Omar Torres-Carvajal; Philipp Wagner; Santiago R. Ron; Yuezhao Wang; Yuval Itescu; Zoltán Tamás Nagy; David S. Wilcove; Xuan Liu; Weiguo Du

doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change

Chunrong Mi, Liang Ma, Mengyuan Yang, Xinhai Li, Shai Meiri, Uri Roll, Oleksandra Oskyrko, Daniel Pincheira-Donoso, Lilly P. Harvey, Daniel Jablonski, Barbod Safaei-Mahroo, Hanyeh Ghaffari, Jiri Smid, Scott Jarvie, Ronnie Mwangi Kimani, Rafaqat Masroor, Seyed Mahdi Kazemi, Lotanna Micah Nneji, Arnaud Marius Tchassem Fokoua, Geraud C. Tasse TaboueAaron Bauer, Cristiano Nogueira, Danny Meirte, David G. Chapple, Indraneil Das, Lee Grismer, Luciano Javier Avila, Marco Antônio Ribeiro Júnior, Oliver J.S. Tallowin, Omar Torres-Carvajal, Philipp Wagner, Santiago R. Ron, Yuezhao Wang, Yuval Itescu, Zoltán Tamás Nagy, David S. Wilcove, Xuan Liu, Weiguo Du

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

46 Scopus citations

Abstract

Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species’ distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.

Original language	English (US)
Article number	1389
Journal	Nature communications
Volume	14
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y
State	Published - Dec 2023

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

General Chemistry
General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
General Physics and Astronomy

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10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

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Mi, C., Ma, L., Yang, M., Li, X., Meiri, S., Roll, U., Oskyrko, O., Pincheira-Donoso, D., Harvey, L. P., Jablonski, D., Safaei-Mahroo, B., Ghaffari, H., Smid, J., Jarvie, S., Kimani, R. M., Masroor, R., Kazemi, S. M., Nneji, L. M., Fokoua, A. M. T., ... Du, W. (2023). Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change. Nature communications, 14(1), Article 1389. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

@article{d48fe94f4dd34ed3b8bbcd82cba8f075,

title = "Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change",

abstract = "Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species{\textquoteright} distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.",

author = "Chunrong Mi and Liang Ma and Mengyuan Yang and Xinhai Li and Shai Meiri and Uri Roll and Oleksandra Oskyrko and Daniel Pincheira-Donoso and Harvey, {Lilly P.} and Daniel Jablonski and Barbod Safaei-Mahroo and Hanyeh Ghaffari and Jiri Smid and Scott Jarvie and Kimani, {Ronnie Mwangi} and Rafaqat Masroor and Kazemi, {Seyed Mahdi} and Nneji, {Lotanna Micah} and Fokoua, {Arnaud Marius Tchassem} and {Tasse Taboue}, {Geraud C.} and Aaron Bauer and Cristiano Nogueira and Danny Meirte and Chapple, {David G.} and Indraneil Das and Lee Grismer and Avila, {Luciano Javier} and {Ribeiro J{\'u}nior}, {Marco Ant{\^o}nio} and Tallowin, {Oliver J.S.} and Omar Torres-Carvajal and Philipp Wagner and Ron, {Santiago R.} and Yuezhao Wang and Yuval Itescu and Nagy, {Zolt{\'a}n Tam{\'a}s} and Wilcove, {David S.} and Xuan Liu and Weiguo Du",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023, The Author(s).",

year = "2023",

month = dec,

doi = "10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "14",

journal = "Nature communications",

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Mi, C, Ma, L, Yang, M, Li, X, Meiri, S, Roll, U, Oskyrko, O, Pincheira-Donoso, D, Harvey, LP, Jablonski, D, Safaei-Mahroo, B, Ghaffari, H, Smid, J, Jarvie, S, Kimani, RM, Masroor, R, Kazemi, SM, Nneji, LM, Fokoua, AMT, Tasse Taboue, GC, Bauer, A, Nogueira, C, Meirte, D, Chapple, DG, Das, I, Grismer, L, Avila, LJ, Ribeiro Júnior, MA, Tallowin, OJS, Torres-Carvajal, O, Wagner, P, Ron, SR, Wang, Y, Itescu, Y, Nagy, ZT, Wilcove, DS, Liu, X & Du, W 2023, 'Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change', Nature communications, vol. 14, no. 1, 1389. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

TY - JOUR

T1 - Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change

AU - Mi, Chunrong

AU - Ma, Liang

AU - Yang, Mengyuan

AU - Li, Xinhai

AU - Meiri, Shai

AU - Roll, Uri

AU - Oskyrko, Oleksandra

AU - Pincheira-Donoso, Daniel

AU - Harvey, Lilly P.

AU - Jablonski, Daniel

AU - Safaei-Mahroo, Barbod

AU - Ghaffari, Hanyeh

AU - Smid, Jiri

AU - Jarvie, Scott

AU - Kimani, Ronnie Mwangi

AU - Masroor, Rafaqat

AU - Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi

AU - Nneji, Lotanna Micah

AU - Fokoua, Arnaud Marius Tchassem

AU - Tasse Taboue, Geraud C.

AU - Bauer, Aaron

AU - Nogueira, Cristiano

AU - Meirte, Danny

AU - Chapple, David G.

AU - Das, Indraneil

AU - Grismer, Lee

AU - Avila, Luciano Javier

AU - Ribeiro Júnior, Marco Antônio

AU - Tallowin, Oliver J.S.

AU - Torres-Carvajal, Omar

AU - Wagner, Philipp

AU - Ron, Santiago R.

AU - Wang, Yuezhao

AU - Itescu, Yuval

AU - Nagy, Zoltán Tamás

AU - Wilcove, David S.

AU - Liu, Xuan

AU - Du, Weiguo

PY - 2023/12

Y1 - 2023/12

N2 - Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species’ distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.

AB - Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species’ distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.

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U2 - 10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

DO - 10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

M3 - Article

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AN - SCOPUS:85150087823

SN - 2041-1723

VL - 14

JO - Nature communications

JF - Nature communications

IS - 1

M1 - 1389

ER -

Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change

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