Extracting the coherent core of human probability judgement: a research program for cognitive psychology

Daniel Osherson, Eldar Shafir, Edward E. Smith

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

Human intuition is a rich and useful guide to uncertain events in the environment but suffers from probabilistic incoherence in the technical sense. Developing methods for extracting a coherent body of judgement that is maximally consistent with a person's intuition is a challenging task for cognitive psychology, and also relevant to the construction of artificial expert systems. The present article motivates this problem, and outlines one approach to it.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)299-313
Number of pages15
JournalCognition
Volume50
Issue number1-3
DOIs
StatePublished - 1994

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Experimental and Cognitive Psychology
  • Language and Linguistics
  • Developmental and Educational Psychology
  • Linguistics and Language
  • Cognitive Neuroscience

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