Estimating joint return periods for flooding due to storm surge

Alicia E.Díaz De León, Adam Hatzikyriakou, Ning Lin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Exposure to coastal flooding has traditionally been studied by estimating the likelihood of flooding at a single location using return level curves. While a cornerstone of flood risk analysis, this approach neglects the spatial impact of flood events capable of affecting assets over large areas simultaneously. Understanding the joint likelihood of flooding at multiple locations is important when studying critical infrastructure systems comprising interdependent networks of energy, fuel, and water systems. Recent events such as Superstorm Sandy (2012), which led to power outages to over 8.5 million customers and severe fuel shortages, highlight the devastating consequences of cascading failures both within and across infrastructures systems due to flooding. In this study, a bivariate copula is used to estimate the joint return period of storm surge flooding at two locations flooded during Sandy (the East 14 Con Edison electrical substation and the Port Reading Hess refinery). The analysis is based on simulated storm surge from a database of 566 synthetic cyclone events.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationForensic Engineering 2018
Subtitle of host publicationForging Forensic Frontiers - Proceedings of the 8th Congress on Forensic Engineering
EditorsRui Liu, Michael P. Lester, Alicia E. Diaz de Leon, Michael J. Drerup
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Pages818-826
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9780784482018
DOIs
StatePublished - 2018
Externally publishedYes
Event8th Congress on Forensic Engineering 2018: Forging Forensic Frontiers - Austin, United States
Duration: Nov 29 2018Dec 2 2018

Publication series

NameForensic Engineering 2018: Forging Forensic Frontiers - Proceedings of the 8th Congress on Forensic Engineering

Conference

Conference8th Congress on Forensic Engineering 2018: Forging Forensic Frontiers
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityAustin
Period11/29/1812/2/18

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences
  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Building and Construction
  • Environmental Engineering
  • General Materials Science

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