TY - JOUR
T1 - Enso extremes and diversity
T2 - Dynamics, teleconnections, and impacts
AU - Santoso, Agus
AU - Cai, Wenju
AU - Collins, Mat
AU - McPhaden, Mike
AU - Jin, Fei Fei
AU - Guilyardi, Eric
AU - Vecchi, Gabriel Andres
AU - Dommenget, Dietmar
AU - Wang, Guojian
PY - 2015/11
Y1 - 2015/11
N2 - In boreal spring of 2014, the tropical Pacific was primed for an El Niño, when most forecast agen?cies such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology elevated their El Niño probability to more than 60%. A remarkable increase in warm water volume with a series of westerly wind bursts in boreal spring alerted the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) experts to the possibility of a strong event. The mean climate, upon which ENSO evolved, varied on multi-decadal time scales, manifesting itself as a global-scale phenom?enon in what is commonly known as the IPO or PDO.
AB - In boreal spring of 2014, the tropical Pacific was primed for an El Niño, when most forecast agen?cies such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology elevated their El Niño probability to more than 60%. A remarkable increase in warm water volume with a series of westerly wind bursts in boreal spring alerted the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) experts to the possibility of a strong event. The mean climate, upon which ENSO evolved, varied on multi-decadal time scales, manifesting itself as a global-scale phenom?enon in what is commonly known as the IPO or PDO.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84952913826&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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U2 - 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00141.1
DO - 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00141.1
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84952913826
SN - 0003-0007
VL - 96
SP - 1969
EP - 1972
JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
IS - 11
ER -