Dynamics of measles epidemics: Scaling noise, determinism, and predictability with the TSIR model

Keyphrases

• Annual Dynamics 25%
• Birth Rate 50%
• Complex Dynamics 25%
• Core-satellite 25%
• Critical Community Size 25%
• Demographic Stochasticity 25%
• Density Dependence 25%
• Determinism 100%
• Dynamic Signs 25%
• Dynamical Features 25%
• Epidemic Dynamics 25%
• Frequency Domain Analysis 25%
• Host Community 25%
• Host Population 25%
• Human Birth 25%
• Large Cities 50%
• Limit Cycle 25%
• Local Extinction 25%
• Local Lyapunov Exponents 25%
• Long-term Dynamics 25%
• Long-term Patterns 25%
• Measles 100%
• Measles Epidemic 100%
• Measles Vaccination 25%
• Metapopulation Structure 25%
• Model Estimates 25%
• Nonlinearity 50%
• Parameter Estimation 25%
• Phase Space 25%
• Population Abundance 25%
• Population Dynamics 25%
• Population Size 75%
• Pre-vaccination 25%
• Recolonization 25%
• Regional Dynamics 25%
• Small Urban Areas 25%
• Stability Level 25%
• Stochasticity 25%
• Temporal Predictability 25%
• Theoretical Test 25%
• Time Series Model 25%
• Time-domain Analysis 25%
• Wales 25%

Mathematics

• Complex Dynamic 50%
• Frequency Domain 50%
• Host Population 50%
• Limit Cycle 50%
• Local Extinction 50%
• Lyapunov Exponent 50%
• Metapopulation 50%
• Model Predict 50%
• Nonlinearity 100%
• Observed Increase 50%
• Parameter Estimate 50%
• Phase Space 50%
• Relative Importance 50%
• Time Domain 50%
• Time Series 50%
• Time Series Analysis 50%
• Time Series Model 50%