Default Probability

Daniel N. Osherson; Joshua Stern; Ormond Wilkie; Michael Stob; Edward E. Smith

doi:10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R

Default Probability

Daniel N. Osherson, Joshua Stern, Ormond Wilkie, Michael Stob, Edward E. Smith

Psychology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

102 Scopus citations

Abstract

A probability may be called "default" if it is neither derived from preestablished probabilities nor based on considerations of frequency or symmetry. Default probabilities presumably arise through reasoning based on causality and similarity. This article advances a model of default probability based on a featural approach to similarity. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing its predictions to the probabilities provided by undergraduates asked to reason about mammals.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	251-269
Number of pages	19
Journal	Cognitive science
Volume	15
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R
State	Published - 1991

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

Experimental and Cognitive Psychology
Cognitive Neuroscience
Artificial Intelligence

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10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R

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title = "Default Probability",

abstract = "A probability may be called {"}default{"} if it is neither derived from preestablished probabilities nor based on considerations of frequency or symmetry. Default probabilities presumably arise through reasoning based on causality and similarity. This article advances a model of default probability based on a featural approach to similarity. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing its predictions to the probabilities provided by undergraduates asked to reason about mammals.",

author = "Osherson, {Daniel N.} and Joshua Stern and Ormond Wilkie and Michael Stob and Smith, {Edward E.}",

note = "Funding Information: Research support was provided by a Siemens Corporation grant to Osherson, by National Science Foundation Grant Nos. 8609201 and 8705444 to Osherson and Smith, respectively, and by the Office of Naval Research under contract No. NOOO14-87-K-0401 to Osherson.",

year = "1991",

doi = "10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "15",

pages = "251--269",

journal = "Cognitive science",

issn = "0364-0213",

publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell",

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TY - JOUR

T1 - Default Probability

AU - Osherson, Daniel N.

AU - Stern, Joshua

AU - Wilkie, Ormond

AU - Stob, Michael

AU - Smith, Edward E.

N1 - Funding Information: Research support was provided by a Siemens Corporation grant to Osherson, by National Science Foundation Grant Nos. 8609201 and 8705444 to Osherson and Smith, respectively, and by the Office of Naval Research under contract No. NOOO14-87-K-0401 to Osherson.

PY - 1991

Y1 - 1991

N2 - A probability may be called "default" if it is neither derived from preestablished probabilities nor based on considerations of frequency or symmetry. Default probabilities presumably arise through reasoning based on causality and similarity. This article advances a model of default probability based on a featural approach to similarity. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing its predictions to the probabilities provided by undergraduates asked to reason about mammals.

AB - A probability may be called "default" if it is neither derived from preestablished probabilities nor based on considerations of frequency or symmetry. Default probabilities presumably arise through reasoning based on causality and similarity. This article advances a model of default probability based on a featural approach to similarity. The accuracy of the model is assessed by comparing its predictions to the probabilities provided by undergraduates asked to reason about mammals.

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U2 - 10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R

DO - 10.1016/0364-0213(91)80007-R

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VL - 15

SP - 251

EP - 269

JO - Cognitive science

JF - Cognitive science

IS - 2

ER -

Default Probability

Abstract

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

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