TY - JOUR
T1 - Coping with uncertainty
T2 - A call for a new science-policy forum
AU - Kinzig, Ann
AU - Starrett, David
AU - Arrow, Kenneth
AU - Aniyar, Sara
AU - Bolin, Bert
AU - Dasgupta, Partha
AU - Ehrlich, Paul
AU - Folke, Carl
AU - Hanemann, Michael
AU - Heal, Geoff
AU - Hoel, Michael
AU - Jansson, Ann Mari
AU - Jansson, Bengt Owe
AU - Kautsky, Nils
AU - Levin, Simon Asher
AU - Lubchenco, Jane
AU - Mäler, Karl Göran
AU - Pacala, Stephen Wilson
AU - Schneider, Stephen H.
AU - Siniscalco, Domenic
AU - Walker, Brian
PY - 2003/8
Y1 - 2003/8
N2 - The scientific and policy worlds have different goals, which can lead to different standards for what constitutes "proof" of a change or phenomena, and different approaches for characterizing and conveying uncertainty and risk. These differences can compromise effective communication among scientists, policymakers, and the public, and constrain the types of socially compelling questions scientists are willing to address. In this paper, we review a set of approaches for dealing with uncertainty, and illustrate some of the errors that arise when science and policy fail to coordinate correctly. We offer a set of recommendations, including restructuring of science curricula and establishment of science-policy forums populated by leaders in both arenas, and specifically constituted to address problems of uncertainty.
AB - The scientific and policy worlds have different goals, which can lead to different standards for what constitutes "proof" of a change or phenomena, and different approaches for characterizing and conveying uncertainty and risk. These differences can compromise effective communication among scientists, policymakers, and the public, and constrain the types of socially compelling questions scientists are willing to address. In this paper, we review a set of approaches for dealing with uncertainty, and illustrate some of the errors that arise when science and policy fail to coordinate correctly. We offer a set of recommendations, including restructuring of science curricula and establishment of science-policy forums populated by leaders in both arenas, and specifically constituted to address problems of uncertainty.
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U2 - 10.1579/0044-7447-32.5.330
DO - 10.1579/0044-7447-32.5.330
M3 - Review article
C2 - 14571961
AN - SCOPUS:10744224532
SN - 0044-7447
VL - 32
SP - 330
EP - 335
JO - AMBIO
JF - AMBIO
IS - 5
ER -