Comment on "Multiyear prediction of monthly mean atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N"

Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Rym Msadek, Thomas L. Delworth, Keith W. Dixon, Eric Guilyardi, Ed Hawkins, Alicia R. Karspeck, Juliette Mignot, Jon Robson, Anthony Rosati, Rong Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

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Abstract

Matei et al. (Reports, 6 January 2012, p. 76) claim to show skillful multiyear predictions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, these claims are not justified, primarily because the predictions of AMOC transport do not outperform simple reference forecasts based on climatological annual cycles. Accordingly, there is no justification for the "confident" prediction of a stable AMOC through 2014.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)604c
JournalScience
Volume338
Issue number6107
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2 2012

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General

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