Climate variability has a stabilizing effect on the coexistence of prairie grasses

Peter B. Adler, Janneke HilleRisLambers, Phaedon C. Kyriakidis, Qingfeng Guan, Jonathan M. Levine

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

236 Scopus citations


How expected increases in climate variability will affect species diversity depends on the role of such variability in regulating the coexistence of competing species. Despite theory linking temporal environmental fluctuations with the maintenance of diversity, the importance of climate variability for stabilizing coexistence remains unknown because of a lack of appropriate long-term observations. Here, we analyze three decades of demographic data from a Kansas prairie to demonstrate that interannual climate variability promotes the coexistence of three common grass species. Specifically, we show that (i) the dynamics of the three species satisfy all requirements of "storage effect" theory based on recruitment variability with overlapping generations, (ii) climate variables are correlated with interannual variation in species performance, and (iii) temporal variability increases low-density growth rates, buffering these species against competitive exclusion. Given that environmental fluctuations are ubiquitous in natural systems, our results suggest that coexistence based on the storage effect may be underappreciated and could provide an important alternative to recent neutral theories of diversity. Field evidence for positive effects of variability on coexistence also emphasizes the need to consider changes in both climate means and variances when forecasting the effects of global change on species diversity.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)12793-12798
Number of pages6
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Issue number34
StatePublished - Aug 22 2006
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General


  • Climate change
  • Competition
  • Grassland
  • Plant community
  • Population dynamics


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