Chaos and biological complexity in measles dynamics

B. M. Bolker, Bryan T. Grenfell

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

194 Scopus citations


Measles epidemiology offers a unique perspective on the construction of models to describe the dynamics of ecological systems. Simple models of measles transmission can generate deterministic chaos by various mechanisms. However, incorporating more biological realism into the model, in the form of age structure and realism in the seasonal forcing function, can suppress complex dynamics. Adding stochastic terms the the models restores complex dynamics, but raises new questions about demographic scale and population structure in these models.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)75-81
Number of pages7
JournalProceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Issue number1330
StatePublished - Jan 1 1993
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)


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