Abstract
People discount delayed gains (where the default is to receive a smaller gain sooner) more than accelerated gains (where the default is to receive a larger gain later). For losses, the pattern reverses-people discount delayed losses less than accelerated losses. In Study 1, confirming a Query Theory process account, this sign by direction interaction is mediated by the prominence of thoughts in favor of the default. Thoughts in favor of the smaller, sooner amount are more prominent in delay scenarios than acceleration scenarios, and this increases discounting for gains and decreases discounting for losses. Study 2 confirms the causal role of the order of option consideration. Participants considering thoughts in the natural order (pro-default thoughts first) replicate the sign by direction interaction, whereas participants considering thoughts in the opposite, unnatural order (pro-alternative thoughts first) do not. Reversing the order of option consideration eliminates the sign by direction interaction.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 107-126 |
Number of pages | 20 |
Journal | Journal of Risk and Uncertainty |
Volume | 43 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Oct 2011 |
Externally published | Yes |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Accounting
- Finance
- Economics and Econometrics
Keywords
- Constructed preference
- Discounting
- Intertemporal choice
- Losses
- Query theory