Aspiration uncertainty: Its impact on decision performance and process

W. Bentley MacLeod, Mark Pingle

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

We explore how a discrete change in the level of "aspiration uncertainty" affects the quality of a decision and the willingness to search for an improved decision. We find knowing what is attainable improves decision performance, especially when luck places the decision-maker near the optimal choice early in the search process. However, knowing what is attainable hampers performance when the complexity of the problem makes an improved choice difficult to find, for knowing what is attainable teases the decision-maker into over-utilizing decision resources. Differences in the propensity to search are independent of the level of aspiration uncertainty.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)617-629
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Volume56
Issue number4 SPEC. ISS.
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2005
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management

Keywords

  • Aspiration uncertainty
  • Decision resources
  • Decision-maker

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