Are conservatives overconfident?

Pietro Ortoleva, Erik Snowberg

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Scopus citations


Recent studies suggest psychological differences between conservatives and liberals, including that conservatives are more overconfident. We use a behavioral political economy model to show that while this is undoubtedly true for election years in the current era, there is no reason to believe that conservative ideologies are intrinsically linked to overconfidence. Indeed, it appears that in 1980 and before, conservatives and liberals were equally overconfident.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)333-344
Number of pages12
JournalEuropean Journal of Political Economy
StatePublished - Dec 1 2015
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Political Science and International Relations


  • Behavioral political economy
  • Extremeness
  • Ideology
  • Media
  • Overconfidence


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