TY - JOUR
T1 - Arbitrage in fractal modulated black-scholes models when the volatility is stochastic
AU - Bayraktar, Erhan
AU - Poor, H. Vincent
N1 - Funding Information:
This work was supported by the US Office of Naval Research under Grant No. N00014-03-1-0102.
PY - 2005/5
Y1 - 2005/5
N2 - In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the heavy tailedness of the log returns of the stock prices to be also accounted for in addition to the long range dependence introduced by the fractional Brownian motion. Work has been done previously on this problem for the case with constant "volatility" and without a time change; here these results are extended to the case of stochastic volatility models when the modulator is fractional Brownian motion or a time change of it. (Volatility in fractional Black-Scholes models does not carry the same meaning as in the classic Black-Scholes framework, which is made clear in the text.) Since fractional Brownian motion is not a semi-martingale, the Black-Scholes differential equation is not well-defined sense for arbitrary predictable volatility processes. However, it is shown here that any almost surely continuous and adapted process having zero quadratic variation can act as an integrator over functions of the integrator and over the family of continuous adapted semi-martingales. Moreover it is shown that the integral also has zero quadratic variation, and therefore that the integral itself can be an integrator. This property of the integral is crucial in developing the arbitrage strategy. Since fractional Brownian motion and a time change of fractional Brownian motion have zero quadratic variation, these results are applicable to these cases in particular. The appropriateness of fractional Brownian motion as a means of modeling stock price returns is discussed as well.
AB - In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the heavy tailedness of the log returns of the stock prices to be also accounted for in addition to the long range dependence introduced by the fractional Brownian motion. Work has been done previously on this problem for the case with constant "volatility" and without a time change; here these results are extended to the case of stochastic volatility models when the modulator is fractional Brownian motion or a time change of it. (Volatility in fractional Black-Scholes models does not carry the same meaning as in the classic Black-Scholes framework, which is made clear in the text.) Since fractional Brownian motion is not a semi-martingale, the Black-Scholes differential equation is not well-defined sense for arbitrary predictable volatility processes. However, it is shown here that any almost surely continuous and adapted process having zero quadratic variation can act as an integrator over functions of the integrator and over the family of continuous adapted semi-martingales. Moreover it is shown that the integral also has zero quadratic variation, and therefore that the integral itself can be an integrator. This property of the integral is crucial in developing the arbitrage strategy. Since fractional Brownian motion and a time change of fractional Brownian motion have zero quadratic variation, these results are applicable to these cases in particular. The appropriateness of fractional Brownian motion as a means of modeling stock price returns is discussed as well.
KW - Arbitrage
KW - Fractal market models
KW - Fractional Brownian motion
KW - Stochastic integration
KW - Stochastic volatility
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U2 - 10.1142/S0219024905003037
DO - 10.1142/S0219024905003037
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:18644362445
SN - 0219-0249
VL - 8
SP - 283
EP - 300
JO - International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
JF - International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
IS - 3
ER -