TY - JOUR
T1 - Age distribution dynamics with stochastic jumps in mortality
AU - Calabrese, Salvatore
AU - Porporato, Amilcare Michele M.
AU - Laio, Francesco
AU - Odorico, Paolo D.
AU - Ridolfi, Luca
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
PY - 2017/11/1
Y1 - 2017/11/1
N2 - While deterministic age distribution models have been extensively studied and applied in various disciplines, little work has been devoted to understanding the role of stochasticity in birth and mortality terms. In this paper, we analyse a stochastic M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation in which jumps in mortality represent intense losses of population due to external events. We present explicit solutions for the probability density functions of the age distribution and the total population and for the temporal dynamics of their moments. We also derive the dynamics of the mean age of the population and its harmonic mean. The framework is then used to calculate the age distribution of salt in the soil root zone, where the accumulation of salt by atmospheric deposition is counteracted by plant uptake and by jump losses due to percolation events.
AB - While deterministic age distribution models have been extensively studied and applied in various disciplines, little work has been devoted to understanding the role of stochasticity in birth and mortality terms. In this paper, we analyse a stochastic M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation in which jumps in mortality represent intense losses of population due to external events. We present explicit solutions for the probability density functions of the age distribution and the total population and for the temporal dynamics of their moments. We also derive the dynamics of the mean age of the population and its harmonic mean. The framework is then used to calculate the age distribution of salt in the soil root zone, where the accumulation of salt by atmospheric deposition is counteracted by plant uptake and by jump losses due to percolation events.
KW - Age distribution dynamics
KW - M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation
KW - Poisson jumps
KW - Stochastic mortality
KW - Stochastic soil salinity
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U2 - 10.1098/rspa.2017.0451
DO - 10.1098/rspa.2017.0451
M3 - Article
C2 - 29225496
AN - SCOPUS:85037737381
SN - 1364-5021
VL - 473
JO - Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
JF - Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
IS - 2207
M1 - 20170451
ER -