A simulation-based model for understanding the time dependent x-ray drive asymmetries and error bars in indirectly driven implosions on the National Ignition Facility

Time-dependent low-mode asymmetries are believed to play a leading role in limiting the performance of current inertial confinement fusion implosions on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) [E. I. Moses et al., Phys. Plasmas 16, 041006 (2009)]. These long wavelength modes are initiated and driven by asymmetries in the x-ray flux from the hohlraum; however, the underlying hydrodynamics of the implosion also act to modify and amplify these asymmetries. We present here a simulation-based model connecting the time-dependent drive asymmetry seen by the capsule to the measured inflight and hot spot symmetries. This approach is based on a Green's function analysis for which we evaluate the response of the capsule to impulses of drive asymmetry at a series of times. Our model sheds new light on the sensitivity to the drive asymmetry of an imploded capsule, giving a new tool for design. Inverting the problem and finding the drive asymmetry needed to match the experimental data allow us to tightly constrain the drive asymmetry seen by the capsule, providing an error estimate on the result. Doing so, we are able to point out when and how the complex hohlraum simulations start to deviate from what they should obtain to match the experimental data. Ultimately, we project to use this model to make some experimental recommendations to fix the time-dependent low-mode asymmetry of indirectly driven implosions and identify additional measurements to further constrain the asymmetries with a view to improving target design on the NIF.