A feedback model for the financialization of commodity markets

Patrick Chan, Ronnie Sircar, Michael V. Stein

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Recent empirical studies find evidence that commodity prices have become more correlated with financial markets since the early 2000s. This increased correlation is called the financialization of commodity markets and is conjectured to be due to the influx of external (portfolio optimizing) traders through commodity index funds, for instance. We build a feedback model to capture some of these effects, in which traditional economic demand for a commodity, oil, say, is perturbed by the influence of portfolio optimizers. We approach the full problem of utility maximizing with a risky asset whose dynamics are impacted by trading through a sequence of problems that can be reduced to linear PDEs, and we find correlation effects proportional to the long or short positions of the investors, along with a lowering of volatility.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)870-899
Number of pages30
JournalSIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
Volume6
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2015

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Numerical Analysis
  • Finance
  • Applied Mathematics

Keywords

  • Commodity markets
  • Financialization
  • Portfolio optimization

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'A feedback model for the financialization of commodity markets'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this