### Abstract

For an abelian variety A over a number field F , we prove that the average rank of the quadratic twists of A is bounded, under the assumption that the multiplicationby- 3-isogeny on A factors as a composition of 3-isogenies over F . This is the first such boundedness result for an absolutely simple abelian variety A of dimension greater than 1. In fact, we exhibit such twist families in arbitrarily large dimension and over any number field. In dimension 1, we deduce that if E/F is an elliptic curve admitting a 3-isogeny, then the average rank of its quadratic twists is bounded. If F is totally real, we moreover show that a positive proportion of twists have rank 0 and a positive proportion have 3-Selmer rank 1. These results on bounded average ranks in families of quadratic twists represent new progress toward Goldfeld's conjecture- which states that the average rank in the quadratic twist family of an elliptic curve over Q should be 1/2-and the first progress toward the analogous conjecture over number fields other than Q. Our results follow from a computation of the average size of the Φ-Selmer group in the family of quadratic twists of an abelian variety admitting a 3-isogeny Φ.

Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 2951-2989 |

Number of pages | 39 |

Journal | Duke Mathematical Journal |

Volume | 168 |

Issue number | 15 |

DOIs | |

State | Published - Jan 1 2019 |

### All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

- Mathematics(all)

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## Cite this

*Duke Mathematical Journal*,

*168*(15), 2951-2989. https://doi.org/10.1215/00127094-2019-0031